- China has announced plans to relax its COVID-19 restrictions for entry into the country.
This is an edition of The Atlantic Daily, a newsletter that guides you through the biggest stories of the day, helps you discover new ideas, and recommends the best in culture. Sign up for it here.
Former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev wrote some
fan fiction over the weekend in which he hallucinated the fall of the West and the rise of the Fourth Reich. Elon Musk thought the thread was "epic." But first, here are three new stories from The Atlantic.
- The great big Medicare ripoff
- The married-mom advantage
- No one can decide if grapefruit is dangerous.
Dima Trolls; Elon Rolls
I do not miss the Cold War. The United States' great conflict with Soviet communism dominated the first 30 years of my life and determined the path of my early career, and I am glad it is over. And yet, here I am, in a strange reverie about the Cold War at the end of 2022, more than 30 years after the lowering of the Soviet flag. Why? Well, allow me to introduce you to Dmitry Medvedev, the deputy chairman of the Russian Federation's Security Council, and his new conversation partner, the Twitter CEO Elon Musk. The debates of yesterday, the banter between Richard Nixon and Nikita Khrushchev, and the frosty competition between Ronald Reagan and Yuri Andropov have been replaced by the equivalent of Bill S. Preston, Esquire and Theodore "Ted" Logan shouting "Excellent!" and high-fiving each other over freaky Russian fan fiction.
In case you missed it this weekend, Medvedev—a crony of Russian President Vladimir Putin who was also once the actual president of Russia—went on a long Twitter rant with his predictions for 2023. I do not know if Little Dima (as he is sometimes called in Moscow) is a drinking man, but I can only hope that he was completely swacked when he went on this tirade. In any case, let's take a look at what a guy who was once the supreme commander of all Russian forces thinks will happen next year.
Medvedev is a lawyer by training, but he had some deep thoughts on economics. He predicts that oil will rise to $150 a barrel—which is of course Moscow's dearest wish now that the Russian economy is seemingly based on nothing but petroleum, exit visas, and coffins. For some reason, he thinks the United Kingdom will rejoin the European Union, which in turn will destroy the EU and end the euro as a currency. (He also thinks that the "largest stock markets and financial activity will leave the US and Europe and move to Asia," and that the euro and the dollar will be replaced by—no, really—"digital fiat currencies.")
When it comes to war and politics, Medvedev's visions get even weirder.
"Poland and Hungary," he writes, "will occupy western regions of the formerly existing Ukraine." (I suppose this comes after Russia magically defeats and partitions Ukraine.) After this, a "Fourth Reich" will be created "encompassing the territory of Germany and its satellites, i.e., Poland, the Baltic states, Czechia, Slovakia, the Kiev Republic, and other outcasts."
I'm sensing a little cultural resentment here. But let's press on.
"War," Dima continues, "will break out between France and the Fourth Reich. Europe will be divided, Poland repartitioned in the process."
If you're keeping score in this trippy game of Risk: Russia defeats Ukraine, Poland and Hungary seize the western areas of Ukraine, Germany then subdues Poland and everything else in East Central Europe and declares itself a new Reich. France then defeats this Fourth Reich and proceeds to partition the same Poland that is now part of a joint Polish-Hungarian occupation of Ukraine. Or maybe someone spilled a bottle of Stoli all over the board, and this is how we're putting it all back together now that the pieces are soaked and the map is blurry.
But he's not done. "Northern Ireland," he predicts, "will separate from the UK and join the Republic of Ireland." Hmm. The U.K., in Medvedev's world, would have just voted to rejoin the EU, which is about to fall apart, but in any case, how would Northern Ireland …
Look, stop asking questions. Medvedev was once a moderate and relatively pro-Western Russian president, but he's changed his mind. As William Hurt's character says in The Big Chill, "Sometimes you just have to let art flow over you."
The real fun begins when Little Dima foresees the end of the United States: "Civil war will break out in the US, [with] California and Texas becoming independent states as a result. Texas and Mexico will form an allied state." Medvedev might not be the keenest observer of American politics: Texas Governor Greg Abbott does not seem to have any obvious wish to move the Texas border south so that more people from Mexico and perhaps even Central America may move freely through Texas as citizens and allies.
Little Dima's final flourish was a clumsy, racist pirouette: "Season greetings to you all, Anglo-Saxon friends, and their happily oinking piglets!" Russian chauvinists going back centuries have always been a tad salty about "Anglo-Saxons" and their supposed sense of superiority over the Slavic peoples. The reference to piglets is a throwback to old-school propaganda about international capitalists (whose ethnicity Dima leaves unspoken but which, in Russian and Soviet usage, is often an anti-Semitic reference).
No Twitter thread this nutty would be complete without trolling the gargantuan ego of the self-described Chief Twit, Elon Musk. According to Medvedev, Musk will "win the presidential election in a number of states which, after the new Civil War's end, will have been given to the GOP," whatever that means.
Musk's response? "Epic thread!!" He even made sure to add that extra exclamation point. You can almost see him nodding and hitting the power chords on an air guitar when he says it, probably in an attempt to be sarcastic and generate attention at the same time. Several hours later—perhaps after the intervention of an adult—Musk clarified his position and wrote, "Those are definitely the most absurd predictions I've ever heard, while also showing astonishing lack of awareness of the progress of artificial intelligence and sustainable energy."
Great. That ought to do it. Thanks very much, Elon.
This is where the nostalgia creeps in. I don't care that Dmitry Medvedev sounds like a guy in a musty Soviet beer joint railing about the United States. I care that a senior Kremlin official—a man who was once at the top of the Russian nuclear chain of command—is tweeting out vile nonsense and people are merely shrugging, like it's just another day in our weird century. I care that one of the richest men in the world, an industrialist who controls a large swath of the public square, responded to these unhinged tweets like a goofy teenager.
I look forward to the new year. I am glad that the dangerous 20th century is long over, and I am convinced we live in better times today. But I admit that I find myself ruefully nostalgic for a world that was dominated by serious adults who believed in serious things.
Related:
Today's News
- At least 30 people have died in western New York from the severe winter storm.
- China has announced plans to relax its COVID-19 restrictions for entry into the country. Beginning January 8, people with a negative nucleic-acid test will not be required to quarantine upon arrival.
- Adam Fox, one of the men convicted of plotting to kidnap Governor Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan, was sentenced to 16 years in federal prison. Prosecutors say he led the plot.
Dispatches
- Work in Progress: The economy's fundamental problem has changed, Annie Lowrey argues.
Explore all of our newsletters here.
Evening Read

I Love My Clutter, Thank You Very Much
By Burt Solomon
A confession, first: I love clutter.
The horizontal surfaces in my family room are covered with newspapers, magazines, books I've started, books I intend to read, books I want to read but never will, erasable pens, a sweatshirt or two, a soccer ball, a bucket of toy cars, and wayward Legos that gouge my stockinged feet. In addition to a computer, two telephones, and a TV remote, my desk at home is strewn with notebooks, folders, loose papers, birchbark, a modem, scraps of paper with notes to myself, photos of my wife and kids, flash drives, nail clippers, pens, coins, a stapler, a thesaurus, shopping receipts, a hand-grip strengthener, a blood-pressure cuff, two- and three-dimensional likenesses of Abraham Lincoln, four baseballs, three baseball caps, two 1909 baseball cards, two flashlights, a pair of AirPods, a miniature boxing glove my father gave me before I can remember, one Pokémon card, and two Tibetan bowls.
More From The Atlantic
- The Avatar sequel's worst character actually does the film a service.
- Ukraine unplugged
- How long until Alaska's next oil disaster?
Culture Break

Read. "A Black Birch in Winter," a poem by Richard Wilbur, which was published in The Atlantic in 1974.
"You might not know this old tree by its bark, / Which once was striate, smooth, and glossy-dark, / So deep now are the rifts which separate / Its roughened surface into flake and plate."
Watch. Stream Glass Onion on Netflix, and then read an interview with the director Rian Johnson about why the Knives Out sequel is louder and angrier than the first movie.
P.S.
I have a few New Year's resolutions, and they tend to be the same as all of my previous New Year's resolutions: I want to stop aging and wear the same clothes that fit me in college. Failing that, I usually hope for world peace, and then I settle for a general hope that whatever kind of a person I was last year, I can do a bit better this year. (At least I don't fall down the Steve Martin rabbit hole, although his epic bit from Saturday Night Live in 1986 is probably a more honest set of wishes than most of us will admit.)
What's your New Year's resolution? Tell us! Send me an email at emailnewsletters@theatlantic.com, or just hit reply to this newsletter. I ask only that you keep it short—one sentence!—and that it reflects something you're actually resolving to do or hoping for or trying to achieve in 2023. Funny is good too, but I'm curious to see what you're all striving for in the coming year. I am going to nudge some of the Daily team to add their resolutions as well; we might even get my colleague Isabel Fattal to resolve to see some of the 1980s movies we keep referencing here in the newsletter, but we can't promise miracles. We'll collect all of your resolutions over the next few days, and we'll close out the year on Friday by discussing them.
— Tom
Isabel Fattal contributed to this newsletter.
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Scientists say test could replace a costly brain scan or painful lumbar puncture and enable earlier detection of disease
Scientists have developed a blood test to diagnose Alzheimer's disease without the need for expensive brain imaging or a painful lumbar puncture, where a sample of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) is drawn from the lower back. If validated, the test could enable faster diagnosis of the disease, meaning therapies could be initiated earlier.
Alzheimer's is the most common form of
, but diagnosis remains challenging – particularly during the earlier stages of the disease.
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Will science for cash.
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YESTERDAY
My daughter and I have been discussing something for the last 2 years (she's 8 1/2; this is how you pass time in a pandemic with a curious kid), so I admit what I'm posing might seem a little more simplistic than the typical conversations here. The main question we have been playing with is, why does there seem to be an insistence on launching straight from Earth, then up and out directly to [insert celestial body]? The plans always seem to be in mind for Mars, the asteroid belt, and even some of the conversations I've heard about Luna. Seems that, maybe, we're finally changing a bit… but why not more staging?
There is serious logic in using rockets to ferry materials up to the International Space Station (or, if we're not happy with the ISS, build a new orbital platform) to assemble in space, instead of on the ground. No, I'm not asking for IKEA to take over for NASA, but with the fragility and awkward shaping of so many items (we're not seeing people flying space cubes out there), safely packing all of the equipment, and then unfurling solar panels, and laying out longer range vehicle frames could save a lot of fuel, logistical nightmares, and time. Launching out for the moon from orbit around Earth (instead of straight from Earth), and yes even the belt and beyond, gives a great halfway house, requires less thrust to break gravitational pull, and allows more prep for backup items, doesn't it?
Perfectly happy to be disagreed with – that's the essence of healthy debate, right? My position, however, is that, if we truly want to see a future that includes humanity with a long term Lunar stay, and taking better shots at walking on other celestial bodies, doesn't this seem like the more logical tactic than the Kennedy era?
Thanks so much for reading, looking forward to your responses.
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My daughter was born this month and it got me thinking about scientific debates I had seen in the past regarding human longevity. I remember reading that some people were of the opinion that it was theoretically possible to conquer death by old age within the lifetime of current humans on this planet with some of the medical science advancements currently under research.
Personally, I'd love my daughter to have the chance to live forever, but I'm sure there would be massive social implications too.
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I've seen so many of these. Over. And over. Can a sidebar be made with a link to all of them or something?
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The holidays are a notoriously fraught time for big feelings, loneliness chief among them. In 2017, the surgeon general declared loneliness an American "epidemic," with "over 40% of adults" in the U.S. suffering from it. Globally, the rates rose even further when the coronavirus pandemic made gathering dangerous.
What makes things tricky is that solitude is not the same as loneliness. Likewise, physical proximity to people is not necessarily an antidote to loneliness, as anyone who has ever felt alone in the company of others knows. The feeling flares when our emotional needs for intimacy and belonging aren't met.
Thankfully, social encounters aren't the only way to connect. Perhaps, like me, you find solace or comfort in art. Cinema, sculpture, and theater all fit the bill, but I find there's nothing quite like the rush of being seen by a book—that sense that the characters are right there, that the author understands something essential about how it feels to be alive. As the essayist Olivia Laing has written, "The weird gift of loneliness is that it grounds us in our common humanity. Other people have been afraid, waited, listened for news. Other people have survived." When you are feeling alone, these eight books will make excellent companions.

Milk Fed, by Melissa Broder
Broder's second novel follows 24-year-old Rachel as she becomes infatuated with Miriam, the voluptuous Orthodox Jewish woman who works at the local frozen-yogurt shop and couldn't possibly desire Rachel back. (Or could she?) Milk Fed captures the specific, and truly bleak, loneliness of trying to break out in the Los Angeles stand-up-comedy scene while working for a faux-woke talent manager and concealing an eating disorder. It combines that plot with a searching study of missing one's estranged mother—and some of the best sex scenes I've ever read. Rachel sleepwalks through life before meeting Miriam, collecting boyfriends "by default" when she's "too hungry and tired to deal with" moving their hands off her. Broder, a poet, fills in the texture of Rachel's alienation startlingly well, making each sentence so sharp, it's easy to miss how deeply it's lanced you. Of her mediocre therapist, she says: "She was probably someone who genuinely enjoyed a nice pear." Worshipping Miriam opens Rachel up to a future where she doesn't treat her own body with contempt, and where pursuing her unruliest desires can be a kind of mitzvah. Milk Fed treats queer coming-of-age and the tumultuous road to self-acceptance with the reverence both deserve.
[Read: The problem with the stories we tell about eating disorders]

The Lonely City, by Olivia Laing
Laing's exploration of loneliness as it intersects with art making, technology, and her experience relocating to New York in her 30s is one of my most frequently recommended books. She writes gorgeously about the visual artists David Wojnarowicz, Edward Hopper, and Andy Warhol, and many others whose work has something perceptive to say about being alone. Her writing is a warm bath for the senses, except the bathwater is seltzer: She describes the internet-entrepreneur Josh Harris's performance-art piece Quiet, in which 60 people spent the last month of 1999 locked in a bunker that the public could observe, as "a month-long party, a psychology experiment … a hedonistic prison camp or a coercive human zoo." I rarely laugh this hard reading cultural criticism, particularly on a topic this potentially unfunny. Before the bunker was shut down by then-Mayor Rudy Giuliani (allegedly over concerns that it was a cult), it had become a brutal display of sex, defecation, and aggression, despite the project's supposed ethos of togetherness. This anecdote is one of many that Laing carves into like she's cutting unrefined crystal, exposing its luster. The Lonely City makes its heavy research endlessly interesting.

For many writers, Johnson is the patron saint of loneliness, and his semiautobiographical cult hit, Jesus' Son, is scripture for learning how to write volcanic prose that aches. His narrator, referred to throughout the linked story collection as "Fuckhead," longs for connection but settles for alcohol and heroin. Fuckhead's prophetic, addled voice brings us sentences such as "The travelling salesman had fed me pills that made the lining of my veins feel scraped out … I knew every raindrop by its name" and "The sky is blue and the dead are coming back." In the opening story, "Car Crash While Hitchhiking," Fuckhead catches a ride with a young family just before they get into a terrible accident. I've never forgotten how he describes the wife of the man driving the other car learning that her husband has died: "She shrieked as I imagined an eagle would shriek. It felt wonderful to be alive to hear it! I've gone looking for that feeling everywhere." These brief moments of transcendence, often experienced with fellow misfits, stave off the existential solitude always threatening to pull Fuckhead under—if only for another moment, if only until the drugs kick in.
[Read: When a sentence changes your life—then changes its own meaning]

Real Life, by Brandon Taylor
In Taylor's debut novel, Wallace, a Black queer young man from Alabama, navigates the racism and tricky interpersonal politics of his predominantly white Ph.D. program in the Midwest. Real Life is a master class in depicting the penetrating feeling of isolation in a crowd, including among people who ostensibly care. A charged love affair with an allegedly straight classmate tests the boundaries of Wallace's (partly self-imposed) alienation from his peers. "There is a difference between entering someone, being in someone, and being with that person," he thinks. "There is an impossibility to the idea of simultaneously existing within them and beside them." One of the most moving chapters is a nine-page interlude in which he shares the intimate details and casual violence of his childhood. Taylor is one of our foremost chroniclers of social friction, whether he is conjuring chaotic dinner parties at which everyone says the wrong thing or describing how difficult—maybe unworkable—it is to fully see and be seen by others.

Bluets, by Maggie Nelson
Bluets is a group of prose poems, or perhaps a book-length essay, about the carnage of lost love. A few pages in, Nelson admits that she's been at work on a book about the color blue—which she's become obsessed with—"for years without writing a word. It is, perhaps, my way of making my life feel 'in progress' rather than a sleeve of ash falling off a lit cigarette." Bluets is meditative, devastating, and unexpectedly funny, even as Nelson recalls caring for a friend who suddenly became quadriplegic and her own grief after being left for another woman. So how does one fall in love with a color? "It began slowly. An appreciation, an affinity. Then, one day, it became more serious … It became somehow personal," Nelson writes. The color does not replace the speaker's aloneness, but it becomes its container. This makes me think of the Louise Glück line "At the end of my suffering / there was a door," and how loss catapults us into the arms of whatever can make us feel held. Blue is Nelson's door to hope, and a world in which she can become "a student not of longing, but of light."
[Read: Why do we look down on lonely people?]

Don't Let Me Be Lonely, by Claudia Rankine
Whether you're a fan of Citizen—Rankine's best-selling meditation on the accretive toxicity of everyday racism—or new to her work, her acolytes will insist that you not overlook Don't Let Me Be Lonely. An ingenious collection of news stories, photographs, and personal narrative, it unpacks the desolation of cancer and depression, of the George W. Bush years, of America's consistently insufficient response to white supremacy. Rankine's words are frank and mesmerizing. One poem in the form of a conversation reads, "Define loneliness? / Yes. / It's what we can't do for each other." Don't Let Me Be Lonely is similar in its experimental structure to Bluets, except the disaster at its center is not romantic but cultural. Of the first—and, for 73 days in 2001, only—person living with an artificial heart, Rankine writes, "His was a private and perhaps lonely singularity. No one else could say, I know how you feel." Despite the uncertainty of her subject matter, the author has an assured voice that never falters.

Heartbroke, by Chelsea Bieker
Bieker's collection chronicles Californians, mostly women, in the Central Valley who go to extremes to escape their lives, or, at the very least, to let some air in. Heartbroke is wildly original: The first story opens with "Now I didn't know a thing about mining when I got into it with Spider Dick one night working at the Barge." The bold choice to call the first named character "Spider Dick" fits right in with Bieker's clear-eyed candor and her vivid rendering of people who come alive on the page. The protagonists have learned to find grace and humor amid constant indignity. Their dangerous desires—to run away with a murderous outlaw, to steal an unhoused woman's baby, to consider pursuing a creative-writing career with no solid indication that one has the talent for it—bring them pain and magnificence. Short stories are often best savored slowly, but I tore through Heartbroke as though one of its protagonists were holding a gun to my head.
[Listen: How to know you're lonely]

¡Hola Papi!, by John Paul Brammer
Describing a Grindr hookup in college, Brammer writes, "Taking my clothes off, I must have looked like I was preparing to be executed, because he asked, 'Are you sure you want to do this?'" Adapted from Brammer's advice column of the same name, ¡Hola Papi! is a raucous contemplation of the loneliness of being closeted and biracial and the ecstasy of living on your own terms. He answers reader queries with self-effacing honesty, as when he tells the person who asked "How do I let go of a rotten relationship?" about the cognitive dissonance he'd felt while convincing himself that "getting naked with my 'best friend' from high school was just two hetero bros doing regular hetero-bro stuff." Brammer's essays address evergreen questions such as "How do I make peace with the years I lost in the closet?" and "How do you keep chasing your dreams even though you're most definitely a failure?" No one writes like him: He'll proclaim something outlandish but obviously true, like "Hot people often walk like nothing bad has ever happened to them," and follow it up with advice that feels like it's coming from an old friend who wants nothing more than to see you thrive. The results are tender, hysterical, and wise.
When you buy a book using a link on this page, we receive a commission. Thank you for supporting The Atlantic.
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Call for UK government ban of chemical in processed meat such as bacon and ham after mice tumours study
A leading scientist has urged ministers to ban the use of nitrites in food after research highlighted the "clear" risk of developing
from eating processed meat such as bacon and ham too often.
The study by scientists from Queen's University Belfast found that mice fed a diet of processed meat containing the chemicals, which are used to cure bacon and give it its distinctive pink colour, developed 75% more cancerous tumours than mice fed nitrite-free pork.
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This month marks 50 years since humanity last ventured beyond low-Earth orbit. While NASA is currently working to send people back to the moon, Apollo 17 in 1972 is the most recent crewed mission to leave Earth behind. The mission is notable for another reason: the famous "Blue Marble" photograph of Earth fully illuminated by the sun. This stunning image supercharged the nascent environmental movement in the early 1970s and has been reproduced frequently over the decades. Now, it's being reproduced in a new way — scientists from the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology attempted to recreate the Blue Marble shot from scratch using a new climate model. The results, as you can see above, are impressive. The simulation on the right is a dead ringer for the authentic photo on the left.
You could argue that the foundation of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (MPI-M) was part of the environmental movement spurred on by the Blue Marble. MPI-M was set up under the direction of Prof. Klaus Hasselmann in 1975, who would go on to win the 2021 Nobel Prize in Physics for MPI-M's work on anthropogenic climate change.
Work on the climate at MPI-M is still ongoing. In late 2022, the institute completed work on a model known as ICON that can simulate fully coupled climate systems at kilometer scale. Climate scientists believe that being able to resolve atmospheric processes at this level of detail is essential to understanding how global warming is reshaping the globe. With the 50-year anniversary of the iconic Blue Marble photo, the MPI-M team decided to test the model by recreating the image using weather data from 1972.
MPI-M partnered with Nvidia and the German Climate Computing Center to run the simulation, beginning with a spun-up ocean two days before the famous image was captured. The institute describes it as a two-day forecast arriving fifty years too late. By simulating the physics of surface winds, water currents, and cloud fields, the team ended up with something that very closely matches the real photograph.
The image above was generated with the Nvidia Omniverse platform with internal RTX ray tracing. And it's not just a photograph. The simulation is a fully formed world, featuring details not recorded by the Apollo crew's camera. The simulation allowed the team to go beyond the superficial, studying the waves of warm water emanating from the African coast and subsurface eddies that rise upward as the sun heats the ocean. The team expressed pride that ICON was able to so closely mirror the Blue Marble, particularly given the rudimentary weather data from 50 years ago in the southern hemisphere. This work shows that ICON could become a key tool in understanding Earth's changing climate.
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Scientific Reports, Published online: 27 December 2022; doi:10.1038/s41598-022-26430-5
FLIP-based autophagy-detecting technique reveals closed autophagic compartments
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Hey guys and girls, this is my first ever post. I don't have a degree in engineering or anything but I'm having fun with thinking about abstract concepts of technology. Lately I've been thinking about how common problems with spacecrafts can be overcome and I would like to know your thoughts on this and play around with the wildest ideas. Of course there are probably more reasons why each idea wont work but I'd like this thread to go in the direction of "how could this work?".
I want to start by addressing the problem of weight and fuel. The more fuel a spacecraft carries, the more weight/mass it needs to lift and the more mass it has to lift, the more fuel it needs to carry. This is one of the oldest problems of rocket science as far as I know and there have been multiple solutions for this problem, some better, some worse.
Furthermore traditional propulsion concepts are quite costly, which is why reuseable propulsion systems like the Falcon 9 are such a big deal.
So my idea is based on the question if we might be able to not even carry the fuel for propulsion at all?Is it possible to design a concept, where we minimize the weight of fuel the spacecraft needs to lift.
I currently imagine something like a huge starting ramp similar to those freefall towers you see in theme parks. Could it be possible to build such a ramp like 1000m-1500m high? There are already concepts of sky scrapers reaching similar hights, so it shouldnt be impossible to do this. I have to say, this concept would probably only work for unmanned spacecrafts. The spacecraft could be designed like a ring outside of the ramp and accelarated by magnetic rails. This would not only decrease the chance of severe explosions, but would also be without any friction.
The ring shaped spacecraft could be put into rotation at the beginning the starting procedure to stabilize the upwards movement and additional adjustable wings could be added on the outside to provide further lift like a helicoper. This could be helpful in the lower parts of dense atmosphere and even help during landing procedures on other planets or back on earth.
Of course, the length of the starting ramp wouldn't be enough to shoot our spacecraft into earths orbit, so there is still a need for additional boosters onboard of the spacecraft for further accelartion after leaving the ramp.
I really like to heare your thought about this. Sure, there are a lot of issues and disadvantages compared to traditional propulsion systems, but I thing this concept might also be a potential starting point for further developement. And if not, it's still fun to dream and imagine!
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What I mean by perfect conditions is the widespread availability of education, books, world-shared knowledge, global cooperation of scientists, high-speed internet and computers… all that allowing for more complex research, bigger teams, budgets, many people working on projects…
We live in an era where there are many more educated people, and a lot of money is put into r&d and scientific institutes by both countries and corporations.
Conditions seem ripe to have significant breakthrough discoveries every other day, but somehow it seems that there are fewer MAJOR discoveries and inventions compared to 100-200 years ago.
What I mean by "significant" falls within these conditions:
– Something that fundamentally changes society and/or our worldview.
– Era-defining inventions/discoveries (cars, steam machines, TV, microchips, vaccines (the concept of it, not individual vaccines)…).
– Something obvious that it's enormous and paradigm-shifting.
I may be wrong and missing things, but most major things we now have are still based on technology from the 20th century. If I'm wrong, please – correct me!
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TL;DR (Too Long; Didn't Read):
- Nexus Nairobi 2023 is January 31-February 4, hosted by Dr. Mae Jemison and 100 Year Starship
- For r/futorology, we're providing 20% off of virtual attendance with discount code: reddit-rfuturology- 20off
**************
Nexus Nairobi 2023, presented by former astronaut Dr. Mae Jemison and 100 Year Starship, will be held from January 31 to February 4, 2023. Nexus Nairobi is a singularly powerful, immersive four-day event with a theme of when SPACE, PURPOSE, and CULTURE COLLIDE to spark new visions of how space exploration can benefit all on Earth as we evolve further into the universe. This year, 100 Year Starship marks our 10th anniversary by launching the next ten years outside the US, in a very special location–the cradle of humankind. This is not about building the starship Enterprise and "warping" into the galaxy in 100 years. Rather we aim to foster an environment in which such amazing capabilities required for human interstellar travel can be a reality in 100 years. And every step of the way, improving life here on Earth.
Sessions include Thought Pools (an evolution of tech tracks), Educating for Generations Workshop, Business of Space, Under the Kenyan night sky with the Traveling Telescope, Indigenous Knowledge Taking Us to the Stars, Science Fiction Stories Night, and the Canopus Awards, the Collision Gala, to name some. With its bold declaration, "Space. Radical. Vital. Down to Earth.," the objective is to invite and connect people writ large to the challenge and rewards of space exploration and, most importantly, welcome and assure the inclusion of the full range of human experience, talent, skills, resources, and perspectives. This unique gathering will bring artists, engineers, physicists, philosophers, lawyers, storytellers, financiers, space enthusiasts, educators, and more together to experience, connect, imagine, discuss, and celebrate an extraordinary future while building a better world, here and now. We're inviting everyone interested in shaping the audacious journey of interstellar for humanity to join us. More information on the Nexus can be found at http://nexusnairobi.org.
For members of r/Futurology, we are providing a 20% discount code for virtual registration at Nexus Nairobi 2023! Simply use the code reddit-rfuturology-20off at registration to receive your discount.
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Scientific Reports, Published online: 27 December 2022; doi:10.1038/s41598-022-27068-z
Author Correction: Effective screening strategies for safe opening of universities under Omicron and Delta variants of
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Because why not?
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researchers uncovered a variety of ways that tumors can survive and spread, ranging from damaging their own DNA to exploiting the nearby microenvironment for nutrients.
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Make Sunsets uses weather balloons that climb high into the stratosphere, releasing small clouds of sulfur particles. According to the company, one gram of sulfur released into the upper atmosphere counteracts one ton of carbon emissions for a period of one year. Scientists have been studying this form of geoengineering in the abstract for years — it mimics the natural release of sulfur in volcanic eruptions, which can lower temperatures as the particles reflect small amounts of sunlight. But doing it intentionally could have unforeseen consequences.
Multiple experts in the field of geoengineering contacted by MIT Technology Review have heavily criticized the company for moving forward with its plans. Luke Iseman, CEO of Make Sunsets, isn't surprised. He says that the company is equal parts entrepreneurial and provocation. He also understands the reaction, noting that it makes him look like a Bond villain. And like all good Bond villains, Iseman has a foreign lair from which he carries out his dastardly plan — in this case, Baja California.
Iseman says the company's first two balloon launches took place in Baja California this past April, which was before the company officially formed. The balloons were loaded with a few grams of sulfur and enough helium to get them high into the atmosphere, but we don't know how high. The goal was to get the balloons to burst in the stratosphere, but it's unclear if that happened or what the impact of the particles was. There was no monitoring hardware on the balloon, and Iseman did not seek the approval of any government before releasing the balloon.
While geoengineering has not been undertaken on a large scale, it's unlikely that a few grams of sulfur in a balloon will have serious negative impacts. But it's not certain it will do any good, either. Thus, the $10 Make Sunsets charges per "cooling credit" is completely speculative. The danger is that no one stops Make Sunsets from expanding operations, which could attract other players in the burgeoning field of geoengineering. Before we know it, we may have altered the atmosphere in unexpected ways. And maybe that will mean lower global temperatures, but what else could it mean?
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Scientific Reports, Published online: 27 December 2022; doi:10.1038/s41598-022-26238-3
Author Correction: Neck-shaft angle measurement in children: accuracy of the conventional radiography-based (2D) methods compared to 3D reconstructions
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's origins. Now, researchers have software that accurately infers continental ancestry from tumor genomes. Their work may lead to a better understanding of the links between cancer and ethnicity, as well as future strategies for early detection and personalized treatment.
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Scientific Reports, Published online: 27 December 2022; doi:10.1038/s41598-022-25712-2
Fabrication of wafer-scale nanoporous AlGaN-based deep ultraviolet distributed Bragg reflectors via one-step selective wet etching
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Scientific Reports, Published online: 27 December 2022; doi:10.1038/s41598-022-27014-z
Artificial temperature-compensated biological clock using temperature-sensitive Belousov–Zhabotinsky gels
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If an asteroid were to gain sentience and set a course for Earth, might it pick a time like the holidays in order to catch the humans off guard? Well, that's not going to work: Someone is monitoring space for incoming objects, holidays or not.
Kelly Fast manages the Near-Earth Object Observations Program at NASA's Planetary Defense Coordination Office, which funds observatory teams at U.S. institutions using telescopes located around the world. And yes, she told me, researchers monitor the night sky even when most of the country has the day off.
[From the January/February 2023 issue: Seeing Earth from space will change you]
Fast and I discussed the program and the day-to-day work of keeping the planet safe from asteroids.
Our conversation has been condensed and edited for clarity.
Caroline Mimbs Nyce: When we talk about looking for asteroids—or near-Earth objects—what does that mean?
Kelly Fast: It's astronomers using telescopes. What they're looking for are objects that look like stars but are moving relative to those background stars. And then they report those observations.
You have a number of telescopes, like the Catalina Sky Survey at the University of Arizona and Pan-STARRS at the University of Hawaii, that NASA funds to search for near-Earth asteroids. They do that survey every night—or every night that they can. Things like weather or the full moon can be a problem. But that's why it's nice having a number of telescopes, because someone can always be looking, even if the sky is cloudy in one location.
Nyce: Is a full moon just too bright?
Fast: Right. It just makes the sky bright. And so, if you're looking for fainter objects, it kind of overwhelms them. But only the area of sky right around the full moon is a problem.
We have a network of telescopes doing that search effort. And all of them report their observations of moving objects to the Minor Planet Center, which is funded by NASA but is the internationally recognized repository for natural-object, small-body position measurements of all kinds—not just near-Earth asteroids. Everybody reports their measurements there. And if there is something that isn't already associated with an object that's already known, then it's put on the near-Earth-object confirmation page at the Minor Planet Center.
Other astronomers can go and look there and see what needs additional observations. It's one thing to have spotted something that might be a new asteroid discovery, but if you don't get enough information on it—enough positions to be able to calculate an orbit and figure out where it's going to be in the future—then that doesn't help you much.
Nyce: When you do identify something, could it also be falling space junk?
Fast: Or, really, space junk in orbit. Or operating satellites. But that gets weeded out to the extent possible based on what's available in public catalogs. Plus, often, they move at different rates.
It's for the Minor Planet Center to make that determination, because they take those observations and determine an orbit from it. And from that they can tell, Oh, this is in orbit around the sun. This isn't an Earth-orbiting satellite.
Nyce: How close is "near Earth"?
Fast: The definition of a near-Earth asteroid is any asteroid with an orbit that brings it within about one-and-a-third of the distance from the sun to the Earth. But not all near-Earth asteroids actually come close to Earth's orbit. And so there's a subset of those that we'd really want to keep an eye on—that if it were to be in the same place at the same time as the Earth one day, we'd want to know well ahead of time.
NASA also funds the Center for Near-Earth Object Studies at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory. They look at all those data at the Minor Planet Center, and do a precision orbit determination way out into the future to see if anything could pose a long-term impact threat to Earth. The goal is to find something that maybe poses a threat years or decades in advance.
Nyce: It sounds like we have a little bit of lead-up time to figure out where they're going and where they might come into the Earth.
Fast: That is certainly the goal. But there is always the chance that something could be discovered maybe in the short term. But probably very small. You can see most of the large objects much farther away, maybe many orbits ahead of time. But it can happen. We actually had an impactor just a few weeks ago.
Nyce: Oh, really?
Fast: Well, we're talking very small. The nice thing about our atmosphere is it does a good job of disintegrating small objects. You just see a pretty shooting star or fireball. That happens all the time.
Technically, an asteroid, as defined by the International Astronomical Union, is a natural object larger than a meter in size. Our atmosphere takes care of objects that are that size very easily. The one we had a few weeks ago, 2022 WJ1, was discovered in space before it impacted. And that's only happened, like, six times before—where an object was discovered in space and linked to an actual fireball seen in Earth's atmosphere. One of them, a number of years ago, was on New Year's Day. The universe doesn't care that we have holidays.
I know you were interested in who's on the watch over the holidays. The nice thing is it's not just one person; there are teams of people and a lot of automated systems that do orbit determination and then flag if there's something that should be an alert.
If you read about the object just a few weeks ago, that's exactly what happened. A telescope reported the data. Minor Planet Center put it on the confirmation page. And then the Scout system, which was developed by the Center for Near-Earth Object Studies at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, flagged it and said this has a chance of impacting. And so then there were more observations taken, and the impact region was narrowed down. And then the fireball was seen—a nice exercise of the system.
Nyce: You said we've had only six that we've been able to connect from to the fireball actually in the atmosphere? Are there other ones that slip through?
Kelly: Well, these objects are very small—just a couple of meters in size—and they're not the ones that NASA is tasked to try to discover, and certainly not ones that we need to warn people about. We end up treating it like an exercise. It's not that others slip through. They are taken care of by the atmosphere anyway.
We'd certainly want to warn about something much larger. In the case of the Chelyabinsk impact in Russia back in 2013, that was a much larger object, probably about 20 meters in size. But it was coming from the direction of the sun, from the daytime sky. So it wasn't something that could be warned about ahead of time. And it wasn't one that was known many orbits ahead of time. And so that was one that did catch everyone, because there was no way to see it.
Nyce: So there are still surprises in your business?
Fast: Right. NASA is tasked by Congress to find these objects, specifically near-Earth asteroids 140 meters in size and larger—a size that can have regional consequences should one impact the Earth. Obviously, NASA wants to find objects of any size that could hit the Earth, but this is the task Congress has assigned.
[From the August 1898 issue: Reminiscences of an astronomer]
NASA's been looking for ways to kind of speed up the discovery of near-Earth asteroids, because we keep finding objects of that size and larger. And people who do models of the asteroid population can tell that there are more out there that we haven't found. So NASA is working on a mission to help speed up the discovery of near-Earth asteroids. And it's called the Near-Earth Object Surveyor. It's a space telescope that works in the infrared, and it's very specifically designed to search for near-Earth asteroids. It would be able to look in parts of the sky closer to the direction of the sun, for instance, than what the telescopes on the ground can do.
It's going to be a very powerful way to speed up the discovery of these objects. Maybe we'll find none of them pose an impact threat. And that would be fabulous. And maybe we find that one could pose a threat, and it's years in the future, and that would give time to learn more about it—maybe plan, if needed, a deflection mission. The goal is to not be in a scrambling situation but to have the luxury of time.
Nyce: How much can be done by humans? Are asteroids a solvable problem by mankind?
Fast: An asteroid impact is the only natural disaster that could be avoided because mankind can do something.
The DART [Double Asteroid Redirection Test] mission [during which NASA flew a spacecraft into an asteroid and changed its orbit] was fabulous, because that was just a test just to try it out. It's physics. If you want to deflect an asteroid, the simplest way is to impact it and change its velocity so that its orbit changes. This was very small scale, and it was done in a test situation with a binary asteroid, because it was just changing the orbit of one asteroid around another. It was very successful. We can use these data to help inform, should we ever have to design a larger mission. That was a big milestone, to have gone from just doing calculations for how you could deflect an asteroid to an actual mission test.
As for the large or multi-kilometer-sized near-Earth asteroids that would pose global consequences, we're not as concerned about those, because most of that population has been discovered. And so that population is a lot better understood. At the other end of the spectrum, as I mentioned, there are these small, couple-of-meter-sized asteroids that don't make it to the ground intact.
It's that intermediate range that wouldn't have global consequences but could still do some serious regional damage. And so, we're working on that population. How do you eat an elephant? One bite at a time.
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Judging by its press since COVID began, you might think that married motherhood is a pathway to misery and immiseration. "Married heterosexual motherhood in America, especially in the past two years, is a game no one wins," wrote Amy Shearn in one of many New York Times op-eds about the difficulties of marriage in the time of COVID. "Moms Are Not Okay: Pandemic Triples Anxiety and Depression Symptoms in New Mothers," read a headline in Forbes. Bloomberg went so far as to suggest that family life was a financial dead end for women in an article headlined "Women Who Stay Single and Don't Have Kids Are Getting Richer."
The COVID-induced stresses of juggling work, child care, kids' schooling, and lockdowns clearly made life difficult for many mothers, and navigating all of this with a spouse could bring its own challenges. "During the height of the pandemic, my mom-friend group chats roiled: I'm going to scream, typed women trying to do it all. I am seriously going to kill my husband and/or devour my young," Shearn wrote. The New York Times parenting columnist Jessica Grose had a similarly dispiriting article, titled "America's Mothers Are in Crisis," pointing to a group of New Jersey mothers who had become so anxious during the pandemic that "they would gather in a park, at a safe social distance, and scream their lungs out."
But was all of this negative commentary about marriage and motherhood, primarily written by and for left-leaning, affluent, educated mothers, an accurate reflection of reality? And today, as we put the worst of the pandemic behind us, are America's moms still "screaming on the inside," to borrow the title of Grose's new book? Are they socially and emotionally worse off than women without kids?
Actually, no. As tough as motherhood was during COVID, mothers were both happier and more financially secure than childless women during the pandemic. This gap existed before COVID, but it continued during the worst days of the pandemic and has remained since then. This phenomenon is especially noteworthy because moms, and parents more generally, used to be less happy than childless adults as recently as the 2000s.
[Read: The pandemic exposed the inequality of American motherhood]
In 2020, 69 percent of mothers ages 18 to 55 were completely or somewhat satisfied with their life, compared with 61 percent of childless women the same age, according to our analysis of data from the YouGov/Deseret News American Family Survey, which annually surveys 3,000 Americans. It's true that women saw their happiness dip from 2019 to 2020 as COVID set in, but this dip was more acute among childless women, according to the survey. Challenging as they were to care for while many schools were closed, kids seem to have brought a sense of direction, connection, and joy to the average mother's life during the pandemic, at a time when so many other social ties were cut off.
Financially speaking, mothers ages 18 to 55 were also better off than childless women. The median family income for mothers with children under age 18 was $80,000 in 2021 but only $67,000 for childless women, according to the Census Bureau's Current Population Survey. These results are consistent with other recent research by the economists Angus Deaton and Arthur Stone, who found that American parents report more income and "daily joy" than their childless peers, even though they also report more stress.

The picture becomes more complex when we consider socioeconomic status. Poor mothers consistently report lower levels of satisfaction compared with wealthier mothers. This held true during the pandemic: In 2020, 62 percent of poor mothers were at least somewhat satisfied with their lives, compared with 79 percent of rich moms and 80 percent of middle-class moms, according to the American Family Survey data. This is perhaps not surprising given that lower-income moms were more likely than more affluent moms to lose their job and face child-care problems, as Stephanie Murray noted recently in The Atlantic.
However, wealthier moms experienced a COVID-induced decline in life satisfaction, while poor mothers stayed constant. The share of upper-income moms who reported being completely satisfied with their lives dropped a full 10 percentage points from 2019 to 2020, according to the American Family Survey. One possible explanation is that wealthier mothers were more likely to have had their life disrupted by social distancing—which was associated with emotional distress among mothers—compared with lower-income mothers.
Still, even in the worst moments of the pandemic, more prosperous moms fared better than poor moms. One explanation that many articles have overlooked is that wealthier mothers were more likely to have had a co-parent. A staggering 95 percent of rich moms had a husband or partner at home during the pandemic, as did 81 percent of middle-class moms. But only 55 percent of poor moms had a partner, according to the 2021 Current Population Survey. And despite all the media coverage discounting or minimizing the importance of marriage during COVID, mothers with partners were generally happier: In 2020, 75 percent of married mothers were somewhat or completely satisfied with their lives versus 58 percent of their unmarried peers.
Single parenthood has obvious financial implications, which helps explain why poor mothers are more likely to struggle to feed, clothe, educate, and house their children. And less money can translate into less happiness for parents. But there are also social and emotional consequences of single parenthood. In 2020, poor single mothers were the moms most likely to report loneliness—22 percent said they often felt isolated from others—whereas rich married mothers were the least likely to report loneliness: Only 2 percent said they often felt isolated, according to the American Family Survey. (Rich or middle-class unmarried mothers in the survey were too small a group to analyze.)
"Being a single parent is really lonely, even when you're not social-distancing," Shoshana Cherson, a 35-year-old single mother in New York City, told The New Yorker in the middle of the pandemic. "The whole support system I had put in place to keep me going has now completely fallen apart." Another single mother in the city said: "Some days, I feel like I'm melting."
[Annie Lowrey: The child tax credit was a little too subtle]
Even as we attempt to move past the pandemic, these trends are continuing to shape motherhood: The 2022 American Family Survey reported similar divides in loneliness and happiness along class and marital lines. This year, in spite of the challenges associated with parenting, affluent married mothers had a striking 30-percentage-point advantage in their reports of being somewhat or completely satisfied with their life, compared with poor single moms.
We have heard about these challenges and rewards in interviews. Lucy Fatula, a 37-year-old upper-middle-class mother who lives with her husband in Virginia, told us parenthood has entailed some sacrifice: "We gave up eating out whenever we wanted, hanging out with friends for" long stretches, and lots of sleep, she said. But it was worth it: "Seeing my sons happy gives me so much joy, especially knowing that I play such an important role in their lives." Having a husband who is "a hands-on dad and is always supportive of me" has made the journey that much better, Fatula told us.
The tragedy is that millions of moms across the country, especially poor ones, are not similarly situated. Yet the roles of marital status and class have been strangely absent from our recent national conversation about motherhood. Maybe that's because many of the dominant voices in that conversation have their own ambivalent or even negative feelings about marriage. What they don't seem to appreciate is that their experiences are not representative of married motherhood in general, and that the hardship of navigating motherhood without a partner is especially great for poor mothers.
If the data tell us anything, it's that, at least for most American women, the pathway to happiness runs through married motherhood, not away from it.
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Senate Bill 1398, sponsored by Democratic State Sen. Lena Gonzalez, prohibits dealers and automakers from "deceptively naming or marketing" a car as self-driving if it still requires human attention and intervention. The report said that the state DMV already had rules banning this kind of false advertising, but the lack of enforcement led Gonzalez and state legislators to advance the bill so that it's now state law.
"(This bill) increases consumer safety by requiring dealers and manufacturers that sell new passenger vehicles equipped with a semiautonomous driving assistance feature… to give a clear description of the functions and limitations of those features," Gonzalez said in a statement (PDF). Tesla has countered by saying that it already makes its customers aware of the software's limitations.
This is something we've always wondered about, as Tesla vehicles have never progressed beyond Level 2 self-driving ability, as defined in 2014 by the Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE) via document J3106. Level 2 means the car accelerates, steers, brakes, and can maintain or switch lanes and avoid a front-end collision, but still can't drive itself from point A to point B without a human paying attention at all times, ready to take over in a sticky situation or if the car can't read pavement markings or road signs.
In any common-sense reading, that's not fully self-driving. Level 3 and 4 self-driving are much closer, and Level 5 would mean completely autonomous even on roads that haven't been mapped or in heavy storms. To date, no cars are available to consumers with Level 3, 4, or 5 self-driving ability.
Tesla sells FSD as an additional over-the-air option for $15,000 or $199 per month. A statement on the automaker's website regarding the feature reads: "The currently enabled Autopilot, Enhanced Autopilot, and Full Self-Driving features require active driver supervision and do not make the vehicle autonomous. Full autonomy will be dependent on achieving reliability far in excess of human drivers as demonstrated by billions of miles of experience, as well as regulatory approval, which may take longer in some jurisdictions." The automaker also says on its website that all new vehicles already have the hardware necessary to add FSD in the future.
Tesla CEO Elon Musk said in 2017 that he had planned for a Tesla to drive itself across the country without the need for human assistance before 2018. As PCMag reports, last week the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) launched two more crash investigations into accidents where Tesla FSD is alleged to have been at least partially responsible.
Earlier this month, a filing with the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) indicated Tesla is working on a new radar system operating in the 76-77GHz range. The filing suggests the automaker is planning to bring back a radar hardware component to at least some of its models, which raises the question of whether existing vehicles without this hardware will ever be good enough to drive themselves without human intervention.
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has improved communication between researchers and officials, and may have even prompted Uganda's first lockdown against Ebola
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- Earlier this year the company secured $17.3 million ( 23.5 million CAD ) in Series A funding.
As the sense of urgency around climate change intensifies, most of the focus is on shifting energy production away from fossil fuels and electrifying transport, from cars to buses to planes. Transportation and electricity production are the top two culprits when it comes to emitting CO2 (but also two of the most necessary tools for our day-to-day lives). Third on the list and an equally complex beast is industry, and a big part of industry is concrete.
It's been said that concrete is the most widely-used substance on Earth after water. It's all around us, but we never really think about it. Modern society is built on it; it's in our roads, schools, homes, offices, and more; we can't live without it. Yet we're going to have to start trying.
The manufacture of cement, concrete's key ingredient, accounts for a whopping eight percent of the world's emissions. We're not going to stop building things; on the contrary, we're in the midst of a major housing crisis that's going to require a lot more building of things (and doing so cheaply). So how do we build strong, durable structures without continuing to harm the planet? What could reliably and affordably take the place, going forward, of the concrete that blankets our cities?
A startup called CarbiCrete has been developing one promising solution: carbon-negative concrete.
CarbiCrete was founded by Dr. Mehrdad Mahoutian and Chris Stern, both alumni of Montreal's McGill University; Mahoutian started developing the company's tech as a PhD student. Earlier this year the company secured $17.3 million (23.5 million CAD) in Series A funding.
Status-Quo Concrete
The key ingredient in concrete is cement, a complex compound made from calcium, silicon, aluminum, iron, and other ingredients These are heated to extremely high temperatures (2,700 degrees Fahrenheit!), causing a chemical reaction where some elements burn off and the remaining ones end up as a powder. There's a double-whammy of emissions from this process: first, coal or natural gas are burned to create the energy and heat needed to reach such high temperatures; and second, the chemical reaction of the cement compounds emits CO2.
The cement powder gets mixed with aggregate materials like sand and gravel, and when water is added another chemical reaction takes places that causes the whole mixture to harden, reaching its full strength in a little under a month.
Earth-Friendly Concrete
CarbiCrete is doing things differently in a couple ways. For starters, they've cut out cement altogether and replaced it with steel slag. Slag is the waste that comes from the metal-making process; once iron is extracted from iron ore to make steel, slag is what's left over. It's not uncommon to use slag as an aggregate in construction, most often for paving roads.

They mix the slag with aggregate and water, then pour the mixture into forms to make CMUs (concrete masonry units, the concrete blocks used for construction). The last step is to cure the blocks so that they harden and reach full strength. This happens in an absorption chamber into which CO2 is injected, causing yet another chemical reaction; the company's website explains, "During the carbonation process, the CO2 is permanently captured and converted into stable calcium carbonates, filling the voids of the matrix to form a dense structure and giving the concrete its strength." Full strength is reached in 24 hours.
What makes CarbiCrete carbon-negative instead of carbon-neutral is that the company uses CO2 gas sourced from industrial vents in its absorption chambers. So they're not creating CO2 up front, and they're sequestering some that's been removed from the atmosphere.
The company says its CMUs have mechanical and durability properties equivalent to or better than cement-based CMUs, including higher compressive strength by up to 30 percent, and better freeze/thaw resistance.
Scaling Up
One potential drawback, though, is that since the CO2 absorption is a critical part of the process and must be done in a special chamber, CarbiCrete can only be used in pre-cast form; it can't be put in a mixer truck and poured on-site at a construction location. Rather than selling CMUs, CarbiCrete licenses out its technology to concrete manufacturers, who can implement the company's technology in precast facilities. Depending on the size of the absorption chamber, the tech could be used to make blocks, panels, beams, or really any other pre-cast product.
CarbiCrete claims that if a typical CMU-producing plant adopts its technology, the environmental impact can be significant, with 20,000 tons of CO2 abated and removed, 4,400 cubic meters of water saved, and 33,000 tons in landfill avoidance annually.
There's no doubt CarbiCrete's product seems like the way to go. But in addition to having to be pre-cast, it could be difficult to scale the product's final curing process to reach the volume necessary to make a dent in traditional concrete use.
Hopefully the company has more innovations up its sleeve that can address its current limitations. Investors seem to think so; last month CarbiCrete secured a new $5 million (USD) from BDC Capital's newly-launched Climate Tech Fund II, which the founders say they'll use for working capital, product development, and building out business development and marketing operations.
We're still a ways away from converting to truly sustainable building technology, but carbon-negative concrete, even on a small scale, is a step in the right direction.
Image Credit: Dan Meyers on Unsplash
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Scientific Reports, Published online: 27 December 2022; doi:10.1038/s41598-022-27007-y
detection and localization from mpMRI using auto-deep learning as one step closer to clinical utilization
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Nature Communications, Published online: 27 December 2022; doi:10.1038/s41467-022-35614-6
Design of recombinases with new target sites is usually achieved through cycles of directed molecular evolution. Here the authors report Recombinase Generator, RecGen, an algorithm for generation of designer-recombinases; they perform experimental validation to show that this can predict recombinase sequences.
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On a continent that has long attracted western expeditions, a wave of young people are now exploring sites
A late morning in Khartoum. Inside a low, dusty building in the centre of the Sudanese capital, there are crates of artefacts, a 7ft replica of a 2,000-year-old stone statue of a Nubian god, and students rushing through the corridors. Outside is noisy traffic, blinding sunlight and both branches of the Nile.
Heading down one staircase are Sabrine Jamal, Nadia Musa, Athar Bela and Sabrine al-Sadiq, all studying archaeology at Khartoum University. Not one of them is older than 24 and they see themselves as pioneers, breaking new ground on a continent that has long attracted western expeditions, specialists and adventurers but whose own archaeologists have received less attention overseas.
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Scientific Reports, Published online: 27 December 2022; doi:10.1038/s41598-022-27006-z
Sexual dysfunction is more common among men who have high sperm DNA fragmentation or teratozoopermia
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Scientists are beginning to decode endangered creatures' microbial ecosystems
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Times have changed.
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Nature Communications, Published online: 27 December 2022; doi:10.1038/s41467-022-35573-y
The optimization of organic mixed ionic-electronic conductor is critical to realize high performance organic electrochemical transistors. Here, the authors demonstrate the removal of residual palladium impurities to be the key factor to achieving a figure-of-merit of [μC*] of over 2000 V−1 cm−1 s−1.
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Nature Communications, Published online: 27 December 2022; doi:10.1038/s41467-022-35613-7
The pursuit of efficient C–N bond formation is a prime focus of synthetic organic chemistry. Here, the authors documented a base promoted amination between alkyl iodides and diazonium salts via halogen-atom transfer (XAT) process.
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Scientific Reports, Published online: 27 December 2022; doi:10.1038/s41598-022-25792-0
Stress monitoring capability of magnetostrictive Fe–Co fiber/glass fiber reinforced polymer composites under four-point bending
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Scientific Reports, Published online: 27 December 2022; doi:10.1038/s41598-022-26264-1
Surrogate "Level-Based" Lagrangian Relaxation for mixed-integer linear programming
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In 2002, journals retracted 119 papers from the scientific literature.
What a difference two decades make.
On several occasions this year, publishers announced they were retracting several times that number, all at once. (For some of the stories among 2022's retractions that captured the most attention, see our 10th annual roundup for The Scientist.)
This year's 4,600-plus retractions bring the total in the Retraction Watch Database to more than 37,000 at the time of this writing.
As the graphic at the top of this post illustrates, the annual rate of retractions as a share of total published papers continues to grow, to now about 8 in 10,000 papers published. The spike in 2015 reflects the lag of how long some retractions can take, and recent greater scrutiny of papers by sleuths. It also suggests – along with many publishers' realizations that they are being overwhelmed by paper mills – that the growth isn't slowing down.
We had a few key developments of our own this year. A sampling:
- Ellie Kincaid joined us as editor, the first time we have been funded to have a salaried person in that role since 2018. Her impact was immediate, we're sure you'd agree, breaking stories right and left.
- Nature invited us to contribute a World View column reflecting on a dozen years of Retraction Watch, notably the growth in retractions and the fact that so many papers that should be retracted haven't yet been.
- We presented, or were part of teams who presented, findings at the World Conference on Research Integrity and the Peer Review Congress.
- In partnership with Anna Abalkina, we launched the Retraction Watch Hijacked Journal Checker.
- We published an invited editorial in Anesthesiology, "How to Stop the Unknowing Citation of Retracted Papers."
- We partnered with Clarivate, who used the Retraction Watch Database to exclude researchers "found to have committed scientific misconduct in formal proceedings conducted by a researcher's institution, [or] a government agency" from their list of Highly Cited Researchers.
- The WoodNext Foundation awarded us a two-year, $250,000 grant that will allow us to hire another editor who will join us in the first week of 2023.
Our database – with about three times as many retractions as PubMed – continues to power retraction alerts in EndNote, Papers and Zotero. It is also frequently cited in the scholarly literature. Our work is regularly featured in major news outlets such as The New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, Boston Globe, and The Guardian.
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Scientific Reports, Published online: 27 December 2022; doi:10.1038/s41598-022-27070-5
Comparative analysis of environmental standards to install a rooftop temperature monitoring station
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Scientific Reports, Published online: 27 December 2022; doi:10.1038/s41598-022-27094-x
Pregnancy outcomes after living kidney donation from a nationwide population-based cohort study from Korea
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Scientific Reports, Published online: 27 December 2022; doi:10.1038/s41598-022-26469-4
Structure optimization of new tumor-selective Passerini α-acyloxy carboxamides as
/7 activators
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Scientific Reports, Published online: 27 December 2022; doi:10.1038/s41598-022-26886-5
In vivo micro-computed tomography imaging in liver
study of mice using Fenestra VC and Fenestra HDVC
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Scientific Reports, Published online: 27 December 2022; doi:10.1038/s41598-022-26723-9
Electrostatic regulation of the cis– and trans-membrane interactions of
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Scientific Reports, Published online: 27 December 2022; doi:10.1038/s41598-022-26945-x
Multimodal and multidomain lesion network mapping enhances prediction of sensorimotor behavior in stroke patients
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Scientific Reports, Published online: 27 December 2022; doi:10.1038/s41598-022-27021-0
Unexpected self-lofting and dynamical confinement of volcanic plumes: the Raikoke 2019 case
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Scientific Reports, Published online: 27 December 2022; doi:10.1038/s41598-022-26650-9
Similar programmed death ligand 1 (
) expression profile in patients with mild
and
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If fusion genrators exist do you think dyson swarms/spheres are obsolete or not? Does this change how we will detect aliens?
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I teach English, and part of my job is to help students write essays (for the IELTS test, about roughly 250 words). Although they mostly struggle, it is a great way for them to learn to make points, express opinions & practice critical thinking.
However, with AI nowadays, a few prompts and a perfectly written piece of writing is created, and I heard that plagiarism detection tools wouldn't work anymore.
I'm not sure if I can consider this a bad thing, since adaptation to new things in life is also vital, for both me & the students.
I guess if they can fully utilize the help of AI, it maybe for the better.
I'm curious to know what you guys think? Just don't give me an AI generated thought lol.
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This is important.
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From the MIT Technology Review art team, here are some of our very favorite illustrations of the year:
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Psychedelic drugs were a hot topic at this year's Society for Neuroscience meeting. Researchers hope the drugs can help people with disorders like depression and PTSD.
(Image credit: Jahi Chikwendiu/The Washington Post via Getty Images)
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Recent research found that supplemental vitamin D doesn't prevent fractures or have any effect on the diseases it has been claimed to help, and blood tests for vitamin D are useless.
The post Should You Take Vitamin D Supplements? first appeared on Science-Based Medicine.
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Nature Communications, Published online: 27 December 2022; doi:10.1038/s41467-022-35691-7
A detailed multi-staged single cell atlas of heart development could improve our understanding of cell type diversification during cardiac development. Here, the authors generated a large dataset with cells from embryonic and neonatal hearts to identify the stage and chamber specific features in heart development.
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Nature Communications, Published online: 27 December 2022; doi:10.1038/s41467-022-35649-9
Tsp-1 in the
microenvironment is known to suppress tumor growth and progression. Here the authors show that
represses Tsp-1 by binding to lipoprotein receptor-related protein 1 and suggest targeting PRSS2 mediated Tsp-1 repression as a potential therapeutic strategy.
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Nature Communications, Published online: 27 December 2022; doi:10.1038/s41467-022-35664-w
While electrochemical conversion of nitrate to ammonia offers a renewable means to remediate waste compounds, it is challenging to achieve selective catalysis. Here, authors demonstrate a strategy to improve electrocatalytic ammonia production using cobalt phosphide on carbon nanosheet arrays.
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Nature Communications, Published online: 27 December 2022; doi:10.1038/s41467-022-35642-2
The authors identify nanobodies from immunized alpaca with broadly neutralizing activity against SARS-CoV-1, SARS-CoV-2 variants, and major sarbecoviruses. One representative nanobody binds to a highly conserved epitope on RBD and protects K18-hACE2 mice from Omicron and Delta infection.
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Nature Communications, Published online: 27 December 2022; doi:10.1038/s41467-022-35603-9
While membrane electrode assembly water electrolyzers are a promising renewable energy technology, further optimizations are needed before wide-spread implementation can occur. Here, authors examine a device with a porous membrane that enables oriented catalyst intergrowth to improve performances.
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?
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I recall reading a 2004 Harvard article on the hypothesized anti-gravity properties of superheavy elements (I believe the first actually synthesized was Moscovium, but the results lasted fractions of a second and the material was highly radioactive).
Have there been any advancements since then? The line of thinking was that E115-144 had emergent gravity and antigravity properties, while the still yet created E145 (the Hawkins element) has solely antigravity properties.
I'm just curious to know if anything interesting has happened since; especially now that we have access to even the most basic NF technology
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Geothermal heat pumps under any building: homes, stores, schools and work place helps in controlling temperature by exchanging heat or cold into the ground because of constant underground temperature.
Geothermal energy will function 24 hour a day similar to wind energy (I like as well). This will be useful for future colonization on other planets.
My sources, not supporting anyone, groups or companies:
https://www.energy.gov/energysaver/geothermal-heat-pumps
https://dandelionenergy.com/advantages-of-geothermal-energy
https://dandelionenergy.com/geothermal-monitoring-and-controls
Edits: The negative is the chemical used in the tubing and possible leaks.
From reading the comments seems that the costs are still more than the benefits, hopefully economies of scale and advances can lower it in the future. I am not a geothermal expert.
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It seems to me that if the data from every doctor's visit (millions of them per year) were compiled into a single open source database, it would be a valuable resource for diagnosing health issues. If every time medical assistance was sought, we kept track of all the variables like ethnicity, blood type, height, weight, physical activity level, heart rate, blood pressure, smoker/non smoker, etc, a description of the issue, and then how it was ultimately solved, in time it would start to help us pinpoint the best treatment options right off the bat. I haven't heard of such a database, and I don't know what would motivate doctor's offices/emergency medical places to put forth the extra effort to enter that information into the database, other than the promise of being able to utilize it in the future.
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Nature Communications, Published online: 27 December 2022; doi:10.1038/s41467-022-35681-9
Microporous organic nanotubes (MONs) hold considerable promise for designing molecular-sieving membranes because of high microporosity, customizable chemical functionalities, and favorable polymer affinity. Here, the authors report the usage of MONs derived from covalent organic frameworks to engineer 15-nm-thick microporous membranes via interfacial polymerization.
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Nature Communications, Published online: 27 December 2022; doi:10.1038/s41467-022-34814-4
is an emerging attractive target for treating obesity. Here, a Cryo-EM structure of NmU-25–NMU2–Gi1 provides the structural basis for the designation of highly selective drugs.
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From a fragment of skull in a washing machine to a finger bone found by a dog walker, the forensic anthropologist Prof Dame Sue Black has helped solve many strange and mysterious cases.
This year, she will be giving the Royal Institution Christmas lectures, Britain's most prestigious public science lectures. In them, she'll be investigating the secret clues hidden in our bodies and how the scientific detective process can be used to identify the living and the dead. Nicola Davis sat down with Black to discuss the lectures, her most memorable cases, and why she didn't want her daughters to get braces. Madeleine Finlay hears from them both in this Christmas special of Science Weekly
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Please excuse me if this question belongs somewhere else. I'm interested in the differences of how the brain/mind registers information via audiobooks versus reading texts. Are different parts of the brain involved? In terms of comprehension or retention, is there any evidence to indicate that one way is better or more efficient than another?
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That includes cyber punk, retro futurism, solar punk, y2k, deco punk, etc. which one will the world have?
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In your opinion, what job that doesn't exist now will exist in the future? Why?
The way there was no such thing as an app developer or Alexa developer or (Edit) "influencers" whatever else is out there that was not even on the radar but later became a "thing"
So based on where we're headed now, what new unknown fields do you think will exist? (No need to specifically name them, just a description)
(Excuse the lack of mention of AI in the post)
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Constellation of 200 satellites set to improve flight safety and communication, including helping limit turbulence
Australian-made satellites will soon be launched on a
in a move designed to close gaps in the country's air traffic management.
The project, created by Canberra-based Skykraft and backed by Airservices Australia, will see a constellation of 200 satellites launched over the next two years to improve flight safety and communication.
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We have seen technology going from feeding few people to feeding 8 billion people, from talking face-to-face to talking with people in another hemisphere, from not knowing what the reason of cancer is to curing some cancer, but recently the impact of new technology has become less noticeable than before. I mean all the new smartphones are basically minor improvements over their past versions these years.
Are we about to hit the limit when new technology won't have a strong impact on the society anymore?
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DEC 26

Drawings that have danced for millennia.
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The Amazon rainforest is the most biodiverse ecosystem on the planet. Scientists there say the best way to experience it may be with your ears.
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and a booster shot.
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